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Crown Green Handicap

Geoff Burns

Team: PensbyDivision: League 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

728

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

50

Matches Played

24

Wins

26

Losses

48%

Win Rate

8.1

Avg Win Margin

6.8

Avg Loss Margin

15-11

Home Record

9-15

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
50 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/4/2023

A large recent sample: 50 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins24/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 50 matches

+11 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

28 Jun23 Jul13 May15 Jul12 Aug26 May3 Jul4 Aug-1371115

Gives 11 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(40%)
48%
score-0.04→contribution-0.02
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.1
score+0.02→contribution+0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.8
score+0.19→contribution+0.03
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
30%
score-0.40→contribution-0.04
Opponent Strength(10%)
820
score-0.24→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.046
Sample Size Confidence
100%(50/39 matches)
Rating977 → shrunk 977→ adjusted 728
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

24W26L50 matches·48% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby2021–2023League 2, League 350242648%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2023Paul LewisA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2023vs Gladstone BH9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2023Jack KileyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2023Jack WilsonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
7/17/2023vs Oxton Conservative ClubA4-21LOSS-17LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2023Graham CairnsH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 2
7/3/2023vs AlbanyH12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2023Gary DonaldsonA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/16/2023Paul RummensA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2023vs Hoylake Central & Melrose BA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2023Dave EvansH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
6/2/2023Paul SmithA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2023Paul KavanaghH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
5/12/2023Mark WoodA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
5/5/2023Colin MounseyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 2
4/28/2023Robert LeachA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 2
4/21/2023Robert LeachH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
8/26/2022vs Albany BH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2022Allen BennettA21-2WIN+19LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2022Jake BreurH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2022Roy WalkerA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2022vs Bromborough PoolH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2022Eileen HumeH21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2022Phil HaleH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2022Grace MulvaneyA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022Stephen WheeldonH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Terry ScottA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2022Trevor BarracloughA8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Val ArnoldH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2022Neil HenningA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs Albany BA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2022Linette NashH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/13/2022Paul DraperA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022James KellyH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2022Neil PowellH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Michelle CaffinA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
8/13/2021Chris BlackburnH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2021vs PoultonH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/30/2021Graham RobinsonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/23/2021Tony MalcolmA21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2021Tony SnutchH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/16/2021Maureen PercivalH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
7/9/2021Malcolm ShawA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2021Brian GoreA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2021Lyn NevinH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2021Robert HolmesH21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
6/18/2021Robert LeachH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2021Lucas WainwrightA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
6/4/2021Edwin BerryH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 3
5/28/2021Gordon DitchfieldA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl5 games · 5W
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundPeter FishwickAlbany B21-0WINWON
Round of 16 RoundAndy PorterAlbany21-17WINLOST
20223 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSandra CooperBromborough Pool21-6WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMichelle CaffinPensby B21-13WINWON
Quarters RoundFred BeacallAlbany21-11WINLOST

Current Streak

5losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 50% win rate
LLLLL
Last 1020% win rate↓ declining
LLLLLWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Robert Leach0330%4/28/2023
Albany B11250%8/26/2022
Paul Lewis0110%8/4/2023
Gladstone B0110%7/31/2023
Jack Kiley0110%7/24/2023
Jack Wilson0110%7/21/2023
Oxton Conservative Club0110%7/17/2023
Graham Cairns101100%7/7/2023
Albany0110%7/3/2023
Gary Donaldson0110%6/30/2023
Biggest Win
Allen Bennett (+19)8/19/2022
Heaviest Defeat
Unknown (-17)7/17/2023
Nemesis
Robert Leach0-3 H2H
Best Season
202268% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202318% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
56% → 40%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
78141 known · 9 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-60% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
19-1654% win rate

By Division

League 321-12 (64%)
League 23-14 (18%)
League 217.6%
3W·14L·17 played
League 363.6%
21W·12L·33 played

Debut

May 28, 2021

Latest

Aug 4, 2023

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.7 (50 total)

Seasons

202120222023