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Crown Green Handicap

Geoff Burns

Team: Pensby BDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

872

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

33

Matches Played

15

Wins

18

Losses

45%

Win Rate

7.3

Avg Win Margin

7.6

Avg Loss Margin

8-8

Home Record

7-10

Away Record

83%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
30 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/6/2024

A solid recent sample: 30 of 33 matches needed for full confidence in the 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins15/50

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 33 matches

+9 Rising
18 May13 Jun11 Jul10 Aug14 May11 Jun9 Jul6 Aug-14916
Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(35%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
7.3
score-0.12→contribution-0.03
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.5
score+0.08→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
915
score-0.09→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.010
Sample Size Confidence
83%(30/33 matches)
Rating996 → shrunk 997→ adjusted 872
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)871
Recency Blend40% (30 recent matches)
Final Rating872
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

15W18L33 matches·45.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2023–2024Division B30151550%
Pensby C2021Division C2020%
Pensby2021Division A1010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/6/2024John McgibbonH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/30/2024Paula JenningsA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision B
7/23/2024Paul LewisH0-21LOSS-21LeagueDivision B
7/16/2024Derek EdwardsH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
7/9/2024John KayllA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/2/2024Roy BrannonA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
6/19/2024vs Arno TixallA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
6/13/2024Jaxon McelnayA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision B
6/11/2024Andrew ProctorH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
6/4/2024Matthew BradyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
5/30/2024Colin MounseyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
5/21/2024Tony MalcolmH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision B
5/14/2024Billy CottamH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision B
5/7/2024Gary BoothA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
8/31/2023Peter JonesA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision B
8/24/2023Eric JamesH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
8/17/2023Alan AtkinsonH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision B
8/10/2023Brian DentonA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
8/3/2023Tommy BrownH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
7/27/2023Ken KerrA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision B
7/20/2023Kevin CafferyH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/11/2023Ron JonesA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
7/6/2023John SheenH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
6/28/2023vs Arno TixallA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision B
6/15/2023Kevin WalshH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision B
6/13/2023Joe RiceA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision B
6/8/2023Billy CottamH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision B
6/1/2023Paul CottamA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
5/25/2023Thomas RaybouldH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
5/18/2023Nicky BaileyA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision B
6/15/2021Robert HolmesA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Dave LewisH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision A
6/1/2021Ian GillA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
George ONeill Trophy5 games · 1W
20241 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundAnthony Carlson / Andy EcclesLever Club8-15LOSSLOST
20233 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundRod White / Paul BlackwellSea Dog6-15LOSSWON
Round of 16 RoundFred Beacall / Colin TurnerAlbany B15-11WINWON
Quarters RoundAndrew Meldrum / Chris TippeyArno Tixall7-15LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundWayne Roberts / Mark HadfieldOxton Cons2-15LOSSLOST
Andy Dawson Cup2 games · 0W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundPhil RichardsLever Club B10-21LOSSLOST
20231 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundJohn RiggPensby8-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

4

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

6

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLWL
Last 1060% win rate↓ declining
LWLWLWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Arno Tixall11250%6/19/2024
Billy Cottam202100%5/14/2024
John Mcgibbon0110%8/6/2024
Paula Jennings101100%7/30/2024
Paul Lewis0110%7/23/2024
Derek Edwards101100%7/16/2024
John Kayll0110%7/9/2024
Roy Brannon101100%7/2/2024
Jaxon Mcelnay101100%6/13/2024
Andrew Proctor101100%6/11/2024
Biggest Win
Eric James (+13)8/24/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Paul Lewis (-21)7/23/2024
Best Season
202457% · 14 matches
Worst Season
202344% · 16 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
31% → 59%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
89429 known · 4 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-30% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
13-1350% win rate

By Division

Division B15-15 (50%)
Division C0-2 (0%)
Division A0-1 (0%)
Division A0%
0W·1L·1 played
Division B50%
15W·15L·30 played
Division C0%
0W·2L·2 played

Debut

Jun 1, 2021

Latest

Aug 6, 2024

Seasons Active

3 (3.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (33 total)

Seasons

202120232024