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Crown Green Handicap

David Jones

Team: Bebington ParkDivision: Division BLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

651

Current Handicap

NQ

Needs 5 more match(es)

Honours
Season:

5

Matches Played

1

Wins

4

Losses

20%

Win Rate

2.0

Avg Win Margin

6.5

Avg Loss Margin

1-2

Home Record

0-2

Away Record

80%

Handicap Confidence

Provisional
5 / 33 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/30/2026

The handicap is built on a small recent sample (5 matches so far). It is deliberately conservative and will move as more results come in.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player1/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 5 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

9 Jun10 Jun14 Jul15 Jul30 Jul-13714

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(35%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.21
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
2.0
score-1.00→contribution-0.23
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
6.5
score+0.25→contribution+0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
20%
score-0.60→contribution-0.06
Opponent Strength(15%)
838
score-0.78→contribution-0.12
Weighted Score-0.592
Sample Size Confidence
80%(5/33 matches)
Rating763 → shrunk 810→ adjusted 645
Recent 5-Season Rating (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026)735
Recency Blend7% (5 recent matches)
Final Rating651
Handicap
NQ

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

1W4L5 matches·20% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Bebington Park2026Division B3030%
Pensby D2026Division C21150%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/30/2026Tom HowardA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision B
7/15/2026Phill Jones **H15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision B
7/14/2026George McAlenyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision B
6/10/2026Paul HellerH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/9/2026Leslie SilcockA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

3losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

1

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

3

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLWL
Last 1020% win rate— steady
LLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Tom Howard0110%7/30/2026
Phill Jones **0110%7/15/2026
George McAleny0110%7/14/2026
Paul Heller101100%6/10/2026
Leslie Silcock0110%6/9/2026
Biggest Win
Paul Heller (+2)6/10/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Tom Howard (-12)7/30/2026
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 0%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
7984 known · 1 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
1-325% win rate

By Division

Division B0-3 (0%)
Division C1-1 (50%)
Division B0%
0W·3L·3 played
Division C50%
1W·1L·2 played

Debut

Jun 9, 2026

Latest

Jul 30, 2026

Seasons Active

1 (2 mo span)

Matches / Season

5.0 (5 total)

Seasons

2026