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Crown Green Handicap

Dave Rahman

Team: Black HorseDivision: Division 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

786

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

91

Matches Played

54

Wins

37

Losses

59%

Win Rate

9.8

Avg Win Margin

7.9

Avg Loss Margin

34-14

Home Record

20-23

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
58 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 9/1/2026

A large recent sample: 58 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

50 Wins

54 wins

Next goal: Centurion54/100
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 91 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

12 Apr26 Jul13 Jun9 Apr9 Jul15 Apr5 Aug20 May1 Sept-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
59%
score+0.17→contribution+0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
10.1
score+0.35→contribution+0.09
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
75%
score+0.50→contribution+0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
736
score-0.12→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.191
Sample Size Confidence
100%(58/41 matches)
Rating1057 → shrunk 1057→ adjusted 804
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)757
Recency Blend40% (58 recent matches)
Final Rating785
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

54W37L91 matches·59.3% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Black Horse2022–2026Division 3, Division 291543759.3%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
9/1/2026Stanley TaylorA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
8/26/2026Steven LeaveslyH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/19/2026James RobertsH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2026Gary ElliotH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2026Kevin HighcockA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
7/22/2026Jamie RathboneH3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 3
7/14/2026Alan BurrowsA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
6/30/2026Phillip AlmondA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
6/24/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
6/9/2026James RobertsA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
6/3/2026Tim WaineH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
5/26/2026Chris LeighA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 3
5/20/2026Kevin HighcockH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
5/13/2026Barry HollandA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
5/6/2026Tony GordonH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
4/28/2026C DoyleA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 3
4/15/2026Alan TaggartA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
4/8/2026Stanley TaylorH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
9/2/2025Chris O'RourkeA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2025John WilliamsH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Dave RogersA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/13/2025B HopleyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Jack HowarthH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2025Ian ManchesterA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Karl MellingA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Les ClareH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Neil LynchH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Peter BannonH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025John KayA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025A GradyH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Brian LeaH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025G OliverH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025Antony TeelingA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Tony MonaghanH6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
4/15/2025John CorlessA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Arthur RobinsonH4-21LOSS-17LeagueDivision 2
9/11/2024Phil RayA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 3
9/3/2024Brian OwenA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
8/27/2024Gary TyeH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
8/20/2024Les DennettH21-2WIN+19LeagueDivision 3
8/13/2024Howard PinningtonA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
8/6/2024Alan DelahuntH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
7/30/2024Phil RayH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 3
7/23/2024David DuffyH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
7/16/2024Paul DolanA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
7/9/2024John KerrH21-1WIN+20LeagueDivision 3
7/2/2024John PickavanceA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
6/25/2024Ian HillH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
6/18/2024Paul RobertsA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 3
6/11/2024Keith WalshA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/28/2024Mike SmithA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
5/15/2024Tom EustaceA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
5/7/2024Paul LiptrotH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 3
4/30/2024Charlie McFarlaneA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
4/23/2024Craig PunshonH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
4/16/2024Terry JonesA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
4/9/2024Brian OwenH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 3
8/29/2023Alan TaggartA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/22/2023Ken NaylorA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 3
8/15/2023Peter GriffithsH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2023Alan WrightA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
8/1/2023Geoff SkeltonH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
7/25/2023Ste MossA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 3
7/18/2023R LeylandH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
7/11/2023Anthony BurrowsA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
7/4/2023K WebsterH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
6/27/2023Graham FenneyA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
6/13/2023John WilliamsH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/30/2023Charlie McFarlaneH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
5/23/2023David GentA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
5/16/2023John HornH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
5/2/2023Mike MulcrowH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2023B MurphyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 3
4/18/2023Ged HopeH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
4/11/2023Anthony SinerA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Kevin CorriganH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Alan WoodsH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Gordon LoweA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Mark SweetH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
7/12/2022Trevor FrenchH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
7/5/2022M DundenA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022C PritchardH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/21/2022Ian PalmerH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022Bill MolyneuxA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Graham BrandH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022David SwainH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Jimmy NolanA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
4/26/2022Anthony JonesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022N BateA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022John CloughA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

4wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

8

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 580% win rate
WWWWL
Last 1070% win rate↑ improving
WWWWLLWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Stanley Taylor202100%9/1/2026
James Roberts11250%8/19/2026
Kevin Highcock11250%7/29/2026
Absent202100%6/24/2026
Alan Taggart202100%4/15/2026
John Williams202100%8/26/2025
Phil Ray202100%9/11/2024
Brian Owen11250%9/3/2024
Charlie McFarlane202100%4/30/2024
Steven Leavesly101100%8/26/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)6/24/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Ian Manchester (-19)8/5/2025
Best Season
202679% · 19 matches
Worst Season
202522% · 18 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
60% → 59%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
75091 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
54-3561% win rate

By Division

Division 343-15 (74%)
Division 211-22 (33%)
Division 233.3%
11W·22L·33 played
Division 374.1%
43W·15L·58 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Sep 1, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

18.2 (91 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026