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Crown Green Handicap

Colin Burgess

Team: Oxton ArgyleDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

640

Current Handicap

13
Honours
Season:

41

Matches Played

15

Wins

26

Losses

37%

Win Rate

10.4

Avg Win Margin

8.3

Avg Loss Margin

9-10

Home Record

6-16

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
41 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 5/17/2024

A large recent sample: 41 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player5/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 41 matches

+13 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

3 Jun22 Jul19 Aug9 Jun18 Aug8 Jun13 Jul17 May-13714

Gives 13 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current13
Win Percentage(40%)
37%
score-0.27→contribution-0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
10.4
score+0.40→contribution+0.10
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.3
score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
25%
score-0.50→contribution-0.05
Opponent Strength(10%)
765
score-0.55→contribution-0.05
Weighted Score-0.120
Sample Size Confidence
100%(41/39 matches)
Rating940 → shrunk 940→ adjusted 640
Handicap
13

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

15W26L41 matches·36.6% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Penketh Argyle2016–2018League 3, Division 338152339.5%
Oxton Argyle2022–2024League 33030%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
5/17/2024John KayllA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
8/26/2022vs Port Sunlight Village & Works BA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2022Linda BiggsH10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
8/17/2018Joshua BendreyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
8/10/2018Margaret LeachH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
7/20/2018Sandra CooperH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
7/13/2018Ann BirkettA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 3
7/6/2018Roy BrannonH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/2/2018Howard FernA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/29/2018Aaron WilliamsH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2018Tom BentleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2018Pat BensonH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
6/1/2018Simon ThelwallA21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
5/25/2018Erin MoxhamH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/21/2018Jim MorrisA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2018Phil SpencerH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2017Margaret LewisH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2017John LeeceA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2017Barbara PattersonA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
6/30/2017Roy BiggsA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2017Peter BuckneyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2017Dorothy JonesA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
5/26/2017Ian MckillopA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017Alan MawbyA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
5/12/2017Peter JonesH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
4/21/2017Alan SteadmanH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
8/19/2016Peter DannH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 3
8/12/2016Peter TowersA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/8/2016Dave FinlayA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 3
8/5/2016John GladwinH21-4WIN+17LeagueDivision 3
7/29/2016Nicky BaileyH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
7/22/2016Martin ConwayH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Fred ConwayA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Jonathan Nowell-fennaH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Barry TilstonA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Dave PattersonH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
6/3/2016Val RuddA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Jim MorrisA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Edwin BerryH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2016Keith StrachanH21-3WIN+18LeagueDivision 3
4/22/2016Anita MeldrumA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
Stott Cup1 games · 0W
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundPaul KavanaghKendal9-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

4losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

7

Career worst losing streak

Last 520% win rate
LLLLW
Last 1010% win rate— steady
LLLLWLLLLL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Jim Morris202100%5/21/2018
John Kayll0110%5/17/2024
Port Sunlight Village & Works B0110%8/26/2022
Linda Biggs0110%7/8/2022
Joshua Bendrey0110%8/17/2018
Margaret Leach101100%8/10/2018
Sandra Cooper0110%7/20/2018
Ann Birkett0110%7/13/2018
Roy Brannon0110%7/6/2018
Howard Fern0110%7/2/2018
Biggest Win
Keith Strachan (+18)4/29/2016
Heaviest Defeat
John Leece (-16)8/7/2017
Best Season
201653% · 15 matches
Worst Season
201730% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 24%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
71734 known · 7 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
12-2136% win rate

By Division

League 311-21 (34%)
Division 34-5 (44%)
League 334.4%
11W·21L·32 played
Division 344.4%
4W·5L·9 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

May 17, 2024

Seasons Active

5 (8.1 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.2 (41 total)

Seasons

20162017201820222024