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Crown Green Handicap

Chris Nichol

Team: PoliceDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

798

Current Handicap

15
Honours
Season:

84

Matches Played

42

Wins

42

Losses

50%

Win Rate

7.1

Avg Win Margin

7.9

Avg Loss Margin

20-23

Home Record

22-19

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
49 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/26/2026

A large recent sample: 49 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 41-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins42/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 84 matches

+15 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

27 Jul2 May1 Aug21 May27 Aug17 Jun14 Apr26 Aug-14916

Gives 15 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current15
Win Percentage(40%)
41%
score-0.18→contribution-0.07
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
6.7
score-0.22→contribution-0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.9
score+0.01→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
832
score-0.37→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.175
Sample Size Confidence
100%(49/41 matches)
Rating948 → shrunk 948→ adjusted 798
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)798
Recency Blend40% (49 recent matches)
Final Rating798
Handicap
15

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

42W42L84 matches·50% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Police2022–2026Division 2, Division 384424250%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/26/2026Gordon DerbyshireA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/18/2026P MooreH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/11/2026Ron PickavanceH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/28/2026A GradyH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
7/21/2026Tony PilkingtonA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
7/14/2026George MontgomeryH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
7/7/2026John PeetA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
6/30/2026Craig PunshonH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/23/2026Terry KellyA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
6/16/2026Richard MartlandH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
6/9/2026Stuart HolmesA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
5/19/2026A GradyA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/14/2026Keith SpiersH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
9/2/2025Ron PickavanceH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
8/19/2025Brian McCarrickH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
8/12/2025Anthony OllertonA21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
7/29/2025Jim StottH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
7/22/2025Arthur RobinsonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision 2
7/15/2025Geoff GaskellH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
7/8/2025Derek RogersA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
7/1/2025Ian McBrideH11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
6/24/2025Noel ParrA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
6/17/2025G OliverH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
6/10/2025Keith SpiersA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/3/2025Tom OllertonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
5/27/2025Andrew WoodwardA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/20/2025Mike TooleA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Kevin BlackH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Peter SpeakmanA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
4/29/2025A WakefieldH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 2
4/22/2025Derek RoylanceA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/8/2025Mike SmithA21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
9/3/2024Norman BeesleyH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Dave NimmoA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
8/26/2024Dave RogersA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Steven ThomasH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
7/23/2024Lee BolanA1-21LOSS-20LeagueDivision 2
7/16/2024Neil CunninghamH20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
7/9/2024Paul LeylandA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024Callum RothwellH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
6/11/2024Ian FurbankA10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Dave RogersH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024D WoodsA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/21/2024Les SimmsA14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Tony GordonH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
4/23/2024Ged BrownA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Brian McCarrickH19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
4/9/2024Brian YoungA18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023David Blackburn-WoodsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Robert ConnollyA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023Lee StringfellowH7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
8/15/2023Noel ParrH21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Ron SingletonA21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Phil O'ConnorH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
7/18/2023Derek GrimesH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023G FrodshamH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023Ken HillA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Simon ReadH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Lee StringfellowA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Garry AppletonA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Barry FosterH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Jim BamberH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 2
5/9/2023David SwainA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
5/2/2023Keith MakinH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
4/25/2023Kevin CorriganA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
4/18/2023Richard CookH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Steve SaundersA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022David GentH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 3
8/30/2022Paul SandisonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision 3
8/23/2022Tom OllertonH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 3
8/16/2022Les RobertsH21-20WIN+1LeagueDivision 3
8/9/2022Ian HillA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 3
8/2/2022Roy PealingH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 3
7/27/2022Jack HardenA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
7/12/2022Brian EgertonA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 3
6/7/2022Paul DolanA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 3
5/31/2022W PenningtonH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 3
5/24/2022Ian ThomsonA21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 3
5/17/2022Kevin HighcockH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 3
5/3/2022Mike CramptonH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 3
4/26/2022Charlie McFarlaneA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3
4/19/2022John PickavanceH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 3
4/12/2022Geoff CleworthA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 3

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

6

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

5

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLWLL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
WLWLLWWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Ron Pickavance11250%8/11/2026
A Grady0220%7/28/2026
Keith Spiers202100%4/14/2026
Brian McCarrick0220%8/19/2025
Noel Parr11250%6/24/2025
Tom Ollerton202100%6/3/2025
Dave Rogers11250%8/26/2024
Lee Stringfellow0220%8/22/2023
Gordon Derbyshire101100%8/26/2026
P Moore0110%8/18/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/20/2024
Heaviest Defeat
Lee Bolan (-20)7/23/2024
Best Season
202275% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202429% · 17 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
55% → 45%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
81684 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
2-340% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
40-3951% win rate

By Division

Division 230-38 (44%)
Division 312-4 (75%)
Division 244.1%
30W·38L·68 played
Division 375%
12W·4L·16 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Aug 26, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

16.8 (84 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026