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Crown Green Handicap

Chris Auty

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

740

Current Handicap

11
Honours
Season:

10

Matches Played

4

Wins

6

Losses

40%

Win Rate

5.3

Avg Win Margin

9.7

Avg Loss Margin

2-4

Home Record

2-2

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 152/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 10 matches

+11 Rising
15 Jun23 Jun8 Jul27 Jul4 Aug-13714
Started0
Lowest0
Current11
Win Percentage(35%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.07
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
5.3
score-0.46→contribution-0.11
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.7
score-0.28→contribution-0.04
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
40%
score-0.20→contribution-0.02
Opponent Strength(15%)
943
score-0.26→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.282
Sample Size Confidence
9%(10/33 matches)
Rating887 → shrunk 990→ adjusted 740
Handicap
11

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 33, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

4W6L10 matches·40% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2021Division C104640%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/4/2021vs Thingwall BH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision C
8/3/2021Ray WhartonA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
7/27/2021Phil SpencerA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
7/21/2021vs Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks BH17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision C
7/8/2021Philip JonesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision C
6/30/2021vs Bromborough Pool BH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision C
6/23/2021vs Pensby BH12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision C
6/16/2021vs Bebington ParkH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision C
6/15/2021Kerys FreemanA21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision C
6/8/2021Ross MilliganA3-21LOSS-18LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

2

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
LWLLWWLLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Thingwall B0110%8/4/2021
Ray Wharton101100%8/3/2021
Phil Spencer0110%7/27/2021
Pt Sunlight Vill & Wks B0110%7/21/2021
Philip Jones101100%7/8/2021
Bromborough Pool B101100%6/30/2021
Pensby B0110%6/23/2021
Bebington Park0110%6/16/2021
Kerys Freeman101100%6/15/2021
Ross Milligan0110%6/8/2021
Biggest Win
Kerys Freeman (+9)6/15/2021
Heaviest Defeat
Ross Milligan (-18)6/8/2021
Best Season
202140% · 10 matches
Worst Season
202140% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
40% → 40%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8574 known · 6 unknown
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
2-250% win rate
Division C40%
4W·6L·10 played

Debut

Jun 8, 2021

Latest

Aug 4, 2021

Seasons Active

1 (2 mo span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (10 total)

Seasons

2021