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Crown Green Handicap

Brian Kelly

Team: Pensby CDivision: Division CLast updated: 9/29/2026

Rating

800

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

11

Matches Played

6

Wins

5

Losses

55%

Win Rate

9.5

Avg Win Margin

7.4

Avg Loss Margin

3-0

Home Record

3-5

Away Record

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 153/15

Season Highlights

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 11 matches

+10 Rising
27 Apr17 May9 Jun5 Jul20 Jul9 Aug-13712
Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(35%)
55%
score+0.09→contribution+0.03
Avg Winning Margin(23%)
9.5
score+0.25→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.4
score+0.10→contribution+0.01
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
55%
score+0.09→contribution+0.01
Opponent Strength(15%)
869
score-0.05→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score+0.108
Sample Size Confidence
2%(11/75 matches)
Rating1043 → shrunk 1001→ adjusted 751
Handicap10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 400). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by a confidence factor (matches ÷ 75), so players with few games don't get extreme handicaps. Recency blend: the shrunk all-time rating is blended with a separate rating from the seasons selected in Handicap Calculation Years (currently 2022, 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026), weighted up to 40% based on recent match volume (30+ matches = full 40%). Players with no recent matches keep their all-time rating unchanged. Rating is mapped to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger).

League

6W5L11 matches·54.5% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby C2016Division C74357.1%
Pensby B2016Division B42250%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/9/2016Andy SmithA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision B
7/26/2016Neil PowellA21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision B
7/20/2016vs Tixall CA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision B
7/13/2016vs Thingwall BH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision C
7/5/2016Bill MclellanA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision C
6/23/2016Wally SmithH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision C
6/9/2016Dave DobsonA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision C
6/2/2016Tom MayA13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision C
5/17/2016Henry WilsonA21-14WIN+7LeagueDivision C
5/10/2016George SmithA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision B
4/27/2016vs Sea DogH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision C

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
LWLWL
Last 1050% win rate— steady
LWLWLWLLWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Andy Smith0110%8/9/2016
Neil Powell101100%7/26/2016
Tixall C0110%7/20/2016
Thingwall B101100%7/13/2016
Bill Mclellan0110%7/5/2016
Wally Smith101100%6/23/2016
Dave Dobson0110%6/9/2016
Tom May0110%6/2/2016
Henry Wilson101100%5/17/2016
George Smith101100%5/10/2016
Biggest Win
Unknown (+16)7/13/2016
Heaviest Defeat
Dave Dobson (-13)6/9/2016
Best Season
201655% · 11 matches
Worst Season
201655% · 11 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
60% → 50%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
8208 known · 3 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-10% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-357% win rate

By Division

Division C4-3 (57%)
Division B2-2 (50%)
Division B50%
2W·2L·4 played
Division C57.1%
4W·3L·7 played

Debut

Apr 27, 2016

Latest

Aug 9, 2016

Seasons Active

1 (3 mo span)

Matches / Season

11.0 (11 total)

Seasons

2016