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Crown Green Handicap

Barry Tilston

Team: Thingwall BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

695

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

32

Matches Played

15

Wins

17

Losses

47%

Win Rate

9.8

Avg Win Margin

8.0

Avg Loss Margin

12-4

Home Record

3-13

Away Record

67%

Handicap Confidence

Moderately Reliable
32 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/9/2019

A solid recent sample: 32 of 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The handicap is settling and now moves mainly with form.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Decade Player4/10
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 32 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

10 Jun4 Jul12 Aug30 Jun24 Jul25 May21 Jun9 Aug-13713

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
47%
score-0.06→contribution-0.03
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.8
score+0.30→contribution+0.08
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.0
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
35%
score-0.30→contribution-0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
762
score-0.35→contribution-0.04
Weighted Score-0.015
Sample Size Confidence
67%(32/39 matches)
Rating992 → shrunk 995→ adjusted 695
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

15W17L32 matches·46.9% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Thingwall B2016–2019League 332151746.9%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/9/2019Alan MawbyH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2019Chloe CavanaghH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
8/2/2019Michael CavanaghA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2019John LeeceH5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2019Sue LawsonH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2019Teresa DobsonA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
5/31/2019Malcolm ShawH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/11/2018Paul BentleyA9-21LOSS-12LeagueLeague 3
5/25/2018Mo KellettA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2018Tony StocktonH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
5/11/2018Ken AshleyA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/7/2017Clifford SmithA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/24/2017vs Great MeolsH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2017Jonathan Nowell-fennaH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/14/2017Lol MccannA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2017Roger HamerH21-15WIN+6LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Carol WyburnA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/23/2017Roy WalkerA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2017Sheila HobleyA12-21LOSS-9LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017Ken FlintA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2016Steve GarnerH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2016Peter LoweH21-4WIN+17LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2016Dave DobsonA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/8/2016Chris TippeyA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2016Diane BibbyH14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2016vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings DH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2016Roger StandringH21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2016Colin BurgessH21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2016Brian PorterA21-6WIN+15LeagueLeague 3
5/20/2016Eric ShawH21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
5/16/2016Bill TipladyA18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2016Sarah KearneyA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl4 games · 2W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundIan MoxhamThingwall4-21LOSSLOST
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRoderick PrinceWallasey RBL21-7WINLOST
20161 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundJack WilsonHeswall RBL9-21LOSSLOST
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundBrian HarrisLiscard21-17WINLOST
Cartwright Cup2 games · 1W
20191 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundRob OllerheadGladstone14-21LOSSLOST
20151 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJoe RiceLiscard21-20WINLOST
Graham White Cup1 games · 1W
20181 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Quarters RoundWalk OverMagazine B21-0WINWON

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLLW
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLLWLWLWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Alan Mawby101100%8/9/2019
Chloe Cavanagh0110%8/5/2019
Michael Cavanagh0110%8/2/2019
John Leece0110%7/1/2019
Sue Lawson101100%6/21/2019
Teresa Dobson0110%6/17/2019
Malcolm Shaw101100%5/31/2019
Paul Bentley0110%6/11/2018
Mo Kellett101100%5/25/2018
Tony Stockton0110%5/18/2018
Biggest Win
Peter Lowe (+17)7/29/2016
Heaviest Defeat
John Leece (-16)7/1/2019
Best Season
201667% · 12 matches
Worst Season
201667% · 12 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
50% → 44%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
70726 known · 6 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-150% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
9-1538% win rate
League 346.9%
15W·17L·32 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2016

Latest

Aug 9, 2019

Seasons Active

4 (3.3 yr span)

Matches / Season

8.0 (32 total)

Seasons

2016201720182019