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Crown Green Handicap

Austin Davis

Team: Burtonwood ADivision: Division 1Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

958

Current Handicap

9
Honours
Season:

63

Matches Played

32

Wins

31

Losses

51%

Win Rate

8.4

Avg Win Margin

9.1

Avg Loss Margin

23-13

Home Record

9-18

Away Record

57%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
31 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/25/2026

Only 31 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: 50 Wins32/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 63 matches

+9 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

31 May23 Aug13 Jun22 Aug18 Jun22 Apr7 Apr25 Aug-14916

Gives 9 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current9
Win Percentage(40%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.04
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
9.4
score+0.23→contribution+0.06
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
8.2
score-0.03→contribution-0.00
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
45%
score-0.10→contribution-0.01
Opponent Strength(10%)
923
score-0.19→contribution-0.02
Weighted Score-0.015
Sample Size Confidence
57%(31/41 matches)
Rating995 → shrunk 997→ adjusted 934
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)995
Recency Blend40% (31 recent matches)
Final Rating958
Handicap
9

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

32W31L63 matches·50.8% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Burtonwood2022–2025Division 1, Division 253282552.8%
Burtonwood A2026Division 1104640%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/25/2026AbsentH21-0WIN+21LeagueDivision 1
8/18/2026Danny BarwiseA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 1
8/11/2026Gary AndersA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
7/28/2026Karl HoldenA21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 1
7/21/2026D TabernerH14-21LOSS-7LeagueDivision 1
6/23/2026Chris WebsterH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
6/16/2026John BriggsA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 1
5/26/2026Harvey BirchA8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 1
5/19/2026John MorganH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/7/2026Carl SmithiesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 1
9/2/2025Stephen HolroydA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 1
8/26/2025Carl SmithiesH21-10WIN+11LeagueDivision 1
8/12/2025Fred AndertonH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 1
7/29/2025Phil LeeH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
7/15/2025Brian PearceH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 1
7/1/2025Tex AllenA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025Gary AndersH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 1
4/22/2025Craig TaylorH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024B MurphyH16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/27/2024Neil AconleyA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
8/20/2024John CooperH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
8/6/2024Paul WoodwardA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
8/5/2024Arthur RobinsonA5-21LOSS-16LeagueDivision 2
7/30/2024Lee BolanH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
7/2/2024David FryerH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/18/2024John WrigleyH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
6/4/2024Martin WebsterA19-21LOSS-2LeagueDivision 2
5/28/2024J EdwardsH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/14/2024John HornH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
4/30/2024Keith MitchinsonH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 2
4/16/2024Ken LethbridgeH15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2023Darren EllisA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
8/29/2023Steven BoardmanH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
8/22/2023Bob AppletonA21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 2
8/8/2023Robbie MarshallA16-21LOSS-5LeagueDivision 2
8/1/2023Wayne DolanH21-7WIN+14LeagueDivision 2
7/25/2023Graham ParrA2-21LOSS-19LeagueDivision 2
7/11/2023Kevin MarshA9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
7/4/2023Tom OllertonA15-21LOSS-6LeagueDivision 2
6/27/2023A FinneyH21-5WIN+16LeagueDivision 2
6/20/2023Harry OrrettA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
6/13/2023Graham TinsleyH21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023John CooperA21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
5/30/2023Alan ShortH21-6WIN+15LeagueDivision 2
5/23/2023S LoweA7-21LOSS-14LeagueDivision 2
5/16/2023Graham ParrH13-21LOSS-8LeagueDivision 2
4/11/2023Brian LeaH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
9/6/2022David EvansA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
8/30/2022D HughesH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2
8/23/2022Dave NimmoA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
8/16/2022Neil CunninghamH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
8/9/2022Fred HullA11-21LOSS-10LeagueDivision 2
8/2/2022Robert AngusH8-21LOSS-13LeagueDivision 2
7/26/2022Carl RodenA21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
6/28/2022Robbie MarshallA6-21LOSS-15LeagueDivision 2
6/14/2022B MurphyH21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2
6/7/2022Stan HughesA21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 2
5/31/2022Jim StottH21-11WIN+10LeagueDivision 2
5/24/2022Lance FletcherA12-21LOSS-9LeagueDivision 2
5/17/2022Ian HewittH21-17WIN+4LeagueDivision 2
5/3/2022Graham BrandH18-21LOSS-3LeagueDivision 2
4/19/2022Peter JaundrillH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 2
4/12/2022A GradyH21-19WIN+2LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

4

Career worst losing streak

Last 540% win rate
WLLWL
Last 1040% win rate— steady
WLLWLWLLLW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Gary Anders11250%8/11/2026
Carl Smithies202100%4/7/2026
B Murphy11250%9/3/2024
John Cooper202100%8/20/2024
Robbie Marshall0220%8/8/2023
Graham Parr0220%7/25/2023
Absent101100%8/25/2026
Danny Barwise0110%8/18/2026
Karl Holden101100%7/28/2026
D Taberner0110%7/21/2026
Biggest Win
Absent (+21)8/25/2026
Heaviest Defeat
Graham Parr (-19)7/25/2023
Best Season
202363% · 16 matches
Worst Season
202640% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
55% → 47%declining
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
89063 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
4-640% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
28-2553% win rate

By Division

Division 224-21 (53%)
Division 18-10 (44%)
Division 144.4%
8W·10L·18 played
Division 253.3%
24W·21L·45 played

Debut

Apr 12, 2022

Latest

Aug 25, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.4 yr span)

Matches / Season

12.6 (63 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026