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Crown Green Handicap

Andrew Semmens

Team: St Mary's (Billinge) BDivision: Division 2Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

901

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

13

Matches Played

9

Wins

4

Losses

69%

Win Rate

8.2

Avg Win Margin

7.0

Avg Loss Margin

6-2

Home Record

3-2

Away Record

7%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
11 / 41 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/26/2025

Only 11 of the 41 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 155/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 13 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

6 Jun17 Apr30 Jul20 Aug5 Sept13 May26 Aug-14916

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
64%
score+0.27→contribution+0.11
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
7.0
score+0.17→contribution+0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
64%
score+0.27→contribution+0.03
Opponent Strength(10%)
962
score+0.23→contribution+0.02
Weighted Score+0.143
Sample Size Confidence
7%(11/41 matches)
Rating1043 → shrunk 1003→ adjusted 917
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)806
Recency Blend15% (11 recent matches)
Final Rating901
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 300). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 41, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

9W4L13 matches·69.2% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
St Mary's (Billinge) B2023–2025Division 2, Division 1129375%
St Mary's (Billinge) A2025Division 11010%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/26/2025Andy HayesH9-21LOSS-12LeagueDivision 1
6/10/2025Colin PritchardH21-12WIN+9LeagueDivision 2
5/13/2025Mal GradyH21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 2
5/6/2025Graham BrackleyA20-21LOSS-1LeagueDivision 2
9/5/2024Alan BarkerH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 1
9/3/2024Keith MacklinH21-13WIN+8LeagueDivision 1
8/20/2024John RyanA21-18WIN+3LeagueDivision 1
8/6/2024Gary AndersA21-15WIN+6LeagueDivision 1
7/30/2024Wayne DolanH21-16WIN+5LeagueDivision 1
5/7/2024Louis FazakerleyH10-21LOSS-11LeagueDivision 1
4/17/2024Keith MacklinA17-21LOSS-4LeagueDivision 1
9/5/2023Dave NimmoH21-9WIN+12LeagueDivision 2
6/6/2023Eddie WebsterA21-8WIN+13LeagueDivision 2

Current Streak

1losses

In a slump

Longest Win Run

5

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
LWWLW
Last 1070% win rate— steady
LWWLWWWWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Keith Macklin11250%9/3/2024
Andy Hayes0110%8/26/2025
Colin Pritchard101100%6/10/2025
Mal Grady101100%5/13/2025
Graham Brackley0110%5/6/2025
Alan Barker101100%9/5/2024
John Ryan101100%8/20/2024
Gary Anders101100%8/6/2024
Wayne Dolan101100%7/30/2024
Louis Fazakerley0110%5/7/2024
Biggest Win
Eddie Webster (+13)6/6/2023
Heaviest Defeat
Andy Hayes (-12)8/26/2025
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
67% → 71%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
95013 known · 0 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
3-350% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
6-186% win rate

By Division

Division 15-3 (63%)
Division 24-1 (80%)
Division 162.5%
5W·3L·8 played
Division 280%
4W·1L·5 played

Debut

Jun 6, 2023

Latest

Aug 26, 2025

Seasons Active

3 (2.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

4.3 (13 total)

Seasons

202320242025